What I find most interesting is the complete switch of party strongholds over the past 25 or so years. This is what will be interesting to watch, as the Republican Party is now clearly the workingman’s party beyond any depute.
Remember the days of the Democrat South, the Republican California, and the Republican NorthEast? We have absolutely proven a complete reversal, where the Republicans are mainstream and the Democrats are the social elite that was once held closely by the Republicans.
I am curious to see how this plays out in the parties given the absolutely unquestionable facts of this shift.
I was not being negative on Kerry but with Bush taking unexpected leads in minority areas it was obvious this race was over. One analyst said that people were voting against themselves but I think when we look at the longer term trends we can see the shifts over time and a lot more in play.
Interestingly, despite the tax issues, Kerry cleaned up with the rich vote, and despite job losses, Bush cleaned up with Middle America. People can throw propaganda all they want about issues but we are in a political changing climate and have just proven this.
Take D.C. where there were big Kerry wins in the wealthy and influential Northwest and west of 16th Street and an almost 50/50 mix in southeast where minorities are the norm. Likewise the same can be seen in counties in New Jersey, and the Kerry swipe through New York City and Long Island by 6.3 to 1. Go out west and the same is true again with big Kerry wins in coastal San Diego, San Francisco, and the list goes on and on.
For Bush we see big changes in minority support and an absolutely solid mainstream America lead.
So how will this play out? Bush has lost his power-player support but gained a bunch of others that were previously from the liberal sectors. Will this change some plans? Will we see a change in party priorities? I can’t wait to see.
And yes, congratulations to George Bush on a well-deserved victory.